EUROPE: Europa League - QualificationThursday 06 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vCSKA Sofia

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Maccabi Tel-Aviv 40%Draw 28%CSKA Sofia 32%
Strongest call
Maccabi Tel-Aviv or Draw
68%
How we get there
Maccabi Tel-AvivstepCSKA Sofia
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Maccabi Tel-Aviv or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Maccabi Tel Aviv average 3.4 corners per game at home this season (5 competitive matches). CSKA Sofia average 2.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs CSKA Sofia — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Maccabi Tel-Aviv and CSKA Sofia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Maccabi Tel-Aviv 40% · draw 28% · CSKA Sofia 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Maccabi Tel-Aviv 03 CSKA Sofia
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.