Before kickoff our call was New Caledonia to win at 90%. Bawler had New Caledonia at 90%, the draw at 7% and Solomon Islands at 3%. The match finished 0–2.
The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.