How it finished
Solomon Islands beat New Caledonia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured New Caledonia at 90% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Solomon Islands 3%. It forecast 4.5 goals; only 2 were scored. New Caledonia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Solomon Islands' 14 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands?
Solomon Islands beat New Caledonia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured New Caledonia at 90% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Solomon Islands 3%. It forecast 4.5 goals; only 2 were scored. New Caledonia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Solomon Islands' 14 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%.
What was the final score in New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands?
New Caledonia 0–2 Solomon Islands, played on 21 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with New Caledonia 90%, the draw 7% and Solomon Islands 3%.
What were the stats in New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 5–5, Corners 2–9.
Did both teams score in New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands?
No. It finished 0–2, so New Caledonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New Caledonia to win 90%, it finished Solomon Islands won (3% called); Total goals — we said 4.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No.