Bawler / NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano / Recap
FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026

NSI Runavik 2–2 FC LuganoMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026

NSI Runavik
2–2
Draw
FC Lugano
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had NSI Runavik at 40%, draw at 28%, FC Lugano at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 2-2. The model's headline call was NSI Runavik to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Runavik win
40%
Draw
28%
Actual ✓
Lugano win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
NSI Runavik or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✓ Won

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