FT · Belgium: Pro League · Saturday, 12 September 2026
OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge KSVMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Cercle Brugge KSV or draw at 66%. Bawler had OH Leuven at 34%, the draw at 24% and Cercle Brugge KSV at 42%. The match finished 1–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
OH Leuven win
34%
Draw
24%
Result
Cercle Brugge KSV win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.8
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 85%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 85% confidence—both sides generate comparable attacking threat (1.57 and 1.76 xG), pointing toward an open contest that yields multiple goals."