Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Leuven
Team profile

Leuven Prediction

Per-game numbers from 44 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.9
a game
14.1 faced
On target
4.0
a game
5.2 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 44 matches
Next match
13%
Leuven win chance
at KAA Gent · Sat 22 Aug 18:45

Leuven prediction: for Leuven's next match — KAA Gent vs Leuven on Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it KAA Gent are favoured (60%).

Leuven sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.39 expected goals a game and conceding 1.61. Recent form is poor — 3 defeats in a row. Next up is a trip to KAA Gent, where the model has them as underdogs at 13%.

Leuven in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.0Away 0.9
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 6.5
Home 5.0Away 4.3
12.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.1
Home 14.6Away 11.2
4.0
On target · per game
faced 5.2
Home 4.5Away 3.4
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-3
vs Club Brugge
4-16
09 Aug
1-3
@ Charleroi
-
09 Aug
1-3
@ Royal Charleroi
2-6
23 May
0-2
vs Genk
4-4
23 May
0-2
vs Racing Genk
4-4
19 May
1-1
@ Charleroi
6-14

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs KAA Gent · Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win
13%
Leuven
Draw
28%
Loss
60%
KAA Gent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Leuven compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.39
Below average
Goals against
1.61
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 5L
8 settled
Real goals
1.1 – 1.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.39
Conceded1.61

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.39 xG per match · -0.18 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Leuven fixtures (3/3).
3-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Leuven

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 15 Augvs Club Brugge
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 09 Aug@ Royal Charleroi SC
High confidence: Royal Charleroi SC or Draw
Sat 23 Mayvs Racing Genk
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 15 Mayvs Antwerp
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 08 May@ Standard Liege
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 02 May@ Westerlo
High confidence: 1X
Sat 18 Apr@ Antwerp
High confidence: 1X
Sun 22 Marvs Antwerp
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Leuven and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly