EUROPE: Conference League - QualificationWednesday 05 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Panathinaikos vCSKA 1948 Sofia

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Panathinaikos 40%Draw 28%CSKA 1948 Sofia 32%
Strongest call
Panathinaikos or Draw
68%
How we get there
PanathinaikosstepCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Panathinaikos or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Panathinaikos Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Panathinaikos average 7.6 corners per game at home this season (7 competitive matches). CSKA 1948 Sofia average 6.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 Sofia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Panathinaikos 40% · draw 28% · CSKA 1948 Sofia 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Panathinaikos 11 CSKA 1948 Sofia
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.