FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Preston North End 1–3 Wolverhampton WanderersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at 76%. Bawler had Preston North End at 24%, the draw at 27% and Wolverhampton Wanderers at 49%. The match finished 1–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Preston North End win
24%
Draw
27%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
49%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 1.6
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.