Preston are a team built on defensive solidity rather than attacking punch, conceding 1.44 xG per match against a modest 1.11 generated—the profile of a side grinding results through organisation rather than dominance. Recent form has been brittle, delivering just one win from four settled fixtures with two defeats suggesting that defensive structure is being tested. While no upcoming fixtures fall within the current window, Bawler's Poisson model has maintained a perfect 4-for-4 banker hit rate on Preston matches, indicating strong predictive consistency in isolating their low-variance, structured style.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Preston were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Preston are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Preston actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Preston's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.