FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Bolton WanderersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Queens Park Rangers or draw at 74%. Bawler had Queens Park Rangers at 47%, the draw at 27% and Bolton Wanderers at 26%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Queens Park Rangers win
47%
Draw
27%
Result
Bolton Wanderers win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.6 against our forecast)
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 74%
Missed
Medium confidence
Queens Park Rangers or draw
Pre-match: 74%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.