England: ChampionshipSaturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Queens Park Rangers vBolton Wanderers

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.59 goals expected
Queens Park Rangers 46%Draw 31%Bolton Wanderers 23%
How we get there
Queens Park RangersstepBolton Wanderers
1.55Base xG · rolling 26-match1.04
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.55Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.04

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

QPR average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
8
4
1
1
12
12
6
2
1
2
9
9
5
2
3
5
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Queens Park Rangers fixtures & form →Bolton Wanderers fixtures & form →

QPR vs Bolton Wanderers — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between QPR and Bolton Wanderers — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: QPR 46% · draw 31% · Bolton Wanderers 23%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

QPR predictions & form →Bolton Wanderers predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.