FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Rapid Vienna 2–2 Heart of MidlothianMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Rapid Vienna or draw at 75%. Bawler had Rapid Vienna at 50%, the draw at 25% and Heart of Midlothian at 25%. The match finished 2–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Rapid Vienna win
50%
Draw
25%
Result
Heart of Midlothian win
25%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.8 – 1.2
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)

The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Rapid Vienna or draw
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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