Hearts
Hearts operate as a controlled attacking side with modest output (1.52 xG per match) balanced against a relatively sound defence (1.12 xG conceded), suggesting they're neither prolific nor leaky. Their recent run has been excellent—three wins and a draw across four settled fixtures—indicating solid form heading into the fixture window. With no imminent matches to analyse, the focus remains on their underlying profile: a team grinding results through efficiency rather than dominance. Bawler's model has tracked their banker picks at 75% accuracy, providing confidence in the xG-based methodology for future Hearts selections.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Hearts were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the SCOTLAND: Premiership - Championship Group average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Hearts are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Hearts actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Hearts's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.