FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Sheffield United 0–0 Birmingham CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Sheffield United or draw at 83%. Bawler had Sheffield United at 54%, the draw at 29% and Birmingham City at 17%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Sheffield United win
54%
Draw
29%
Result
Birmingham City win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 0.9
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Missed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 50%
Landed
Outside shot
Birmingham City or draw
Pre-match: 26%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.