ENGLAND: ChampionshipSaturday 15 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Sheffield United vBirmingham City

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Sheffield United 54%Draw 29%Birmingham City 17%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
79%
How we get there
Sheffield UnitedstepBirmingham City
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Birmingham City or draw
26%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Sheffield United average 7.4 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Birmingham average 4.7 corners per game away from home this season (27 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Sheffield United vs Birmingham — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sheffield United and Birmingham — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Sheffield United 54% · draw 29% · Birmingham 17%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Sheffield United 00 Birmingham City
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.