FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Sheffield Wednesday 0–2 Wolverhampton WanderersMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Wolverhampton Wanderers to win at 64%. Bawler had Sheffield Wednesday at 14%, the draw at 22% and Wolverhampton Wanderers at 64%. The match finished 0–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Sheffield Wednesday win
14%
Draw
22%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
64%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 2.0
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Pre-match: 64%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 31%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.