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Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Sheffield Wed

Sheffield Wed

ENGLAND: Championship

Sheffield Wednesday present a classic mid-table profile: modest attacking threat (1.18 xG per match) paired with a leaky defence conceding 1.45 xG, suggesting they lack the clinical edge to consistently punish opponents. Recent form has stalled with just one win in five, dominated by draws and defeats that reflect their struggle to convert chances whilst remaining vulnerable at the back. With no fixtures immediately scheduled, the Bawler model's 80% banker hit rate on Owls matches offers a strong foundation for upcoming selections in this squad's next window.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.18-0.11 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.45+0.17 vs league
◇ = ENGLAND: Championship average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Sheffield Wed were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Sheffield Wed are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
0123@ Hull: actual 1, xG 1.56@ Stoke: actual 0, xG 1.11vs Leicester: actual 1, xG 1.58vs Charlton: actual 1, xG 0.99vs West Brom: actual 2, xG 0.66@Hull@StokeLeicesCharltWest B
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -0.9 goals vs xG (-0.18/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Sheffield Wed actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.45 xG per match · +0.17 vs league average of 1.28.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 1W / 2D / 2L · Avg goals 1.0 for, 1.6 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Sheffield Wed's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.18
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.45
per match
Banker Hit Rate
80%
4/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Sheffield Wed matches
80%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Sheffield Wed fixture, the model lands 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Sheffield Wed by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Sheffield Wed fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sheffield Wed matches.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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