Before kickoff our call was Slovakia to win at 91%. Bawler had Slovakia at 91%, the draw at 7% and Moldova at 2%. The match finished 2–0.
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.