How it finished
Slovakia beat Moldova 2–0. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 91% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Slovakia had 18 shots (3 on target) to Moldova's 8 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Slovakia vs Moldova?
Slovakia beat Moldova 2–0. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 91% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Slovakia had 18 shots (3 on target) to Moldova's 8 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Slovakia vs Moldova?
Slovakia 2–0 Moldova, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovakia 91%, the draw 7% and Moldova 2%.
What were the stats in Slovakia vs Moldova?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.4, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 1–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Slovakia vs Moldova?
No. It finished 2–0, so Moldova failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Slovakia vs Moldova right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovakia to win 91%, it finished Slovakia won (91% called); Total goals — we said 4.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 38%, it finished No.