Before kickoff our call was Sporting Hortaleza or draw at 70%. Bawler had Sporting Hortaleza at 45%, the draw at 26% and Atlético Unión Güímar at 30%. The match finished 1–0.
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.