Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar prediction — Copa del Rey · Sun 27 Sept · 11:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sun 27 Sept · 11:00 UK
Sporting Hortaleza 45Draw 26Atlético Unión Güímar 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Sporting Hortaleza or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Sporting Hortaleza beat Atlético Unión Güímar 1–0. Bawler's model had Sporting Hortaleza in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Sporting Hortaleza had 17 shots (13 on target) to Atlético Unión Güímar's 8 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%.

Sporting…Full-time statsAtlético…
60%Possession40%
17Shots8
13Shots on target4
6Corners4
0Offsides0
0Red cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSporting Hortaleza or draw 70%Sporting Hortaleza won (45% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sporting HortalezaAtlético Unión Güímar
1.7
Goals+0.3
1.3
Sporting HortalezaAtlético Unión Güímar
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Sporting HortalezaAtlético Unión Güímar
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Sporting Hortaleza to score81%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Atlético Unión Güímar to score73%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Sporting Hortaleza
52%
to score before half-time
Atlético Unión Güímar
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar?

Sporting Hortaleza beat Atlético Unión Güímar 1–0. Bawler's model had Sporting Hortaleza in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Sporting Hortaleza had 17 shots (13 on target) to Atlético Unión Güímar's 8 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%.

What was the final score in Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar?

Sporting Hortaleza 1–0 Atlético Unión Güímar, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Hortaleza 45%, the draw 26% and Atlético Unión Güímar 30%.

What were the stats in Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Shots 17–8, Shots on target 13–4, Corners 6–4, Offsides 0–0, Red cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar?

No. It finished 1–0, so Atlético Unión Güímar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Hortaleza vs Atlético Unión Güímar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting Hortaleza or draw 70%, it finished Sporting Hortaleza won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Sporting Hortaleza
Next up
4 OctAAtlético Unión Güímar12:00
Atlético Unión Güímar
Next up
4 OctHSporting Hortaleza12:00
All fixtures & results →Sporting Hortaleza form →Atlético Unión Güímar form →