EUROPE: Conference League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 18:00 UTC

St. Gallen vSheriff Tiraspol

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
St. Gallen 40%Draw 28%Sheriff Tiraspol 32%
Strongest call
St. Gallen or Draw
68%
How we get there
St. GallenstepSheriff Tiraspol
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
St. Gallen or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
St. Gallen Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

St. Gallen average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Sheriff Tiraspol average 10.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, St. Gallen have won 1, Sheriff Tiraspol have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 13 St. GallenEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: St. Gallen 40% · draw 28% · Sheriff Tiraspol 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
St. Gallen 51 Sheriff Tiraspol
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.