Before kickoff our call was Vanuatu or draw at 72%. Bawler had Vanuatu at 43%, the draw at 29% and New Caledonia at 28%. The match finished 4–1.
The match produced 2.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.