FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026

West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was West Bromwich Albion or draw at 74%. Bawler had West Bromwich Albion at 46%, the draw at 27% and Queens Park Rangers at 26%. The match finished 1–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

West Bromwich Albion win
46%
Draw
27%
Result
Queens Park Rangers win
26%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
West Bromwich Albion or draw
Pre-match: 74%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"West Brom's 0.43 expected-goals advantage underpins the West Bromwich Albion or draw forecast at 74%, suggesting the hosts either win or draw against a visiting side generating just 1.08 chances per game."

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