Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / West Brom
Team profile

West Brom Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.5
a game
10.6 faced
On target
4.3
a game
3.3 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Next match
57%
West Brom win chance
vs Burnley · Sun 23 Aug 11:00

West Brom prediction: for West Brom's next match — West Brom vs Burnley on Sunday 23 Aug, 11:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a West Brom win looks most likely (57%).

West Brom sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.06. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.71 a game against 1.34 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is Burnley, where the model makes them clear favourites at 57%.

West Brom in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 1.2Away 1.1
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.9
Home 6.1Away 4.0
13.5
Shots · per game
faced 10.6
Home 15.1Away 12.1
4.3
On target · per game
faced 3.3
Home 4.6Away 4.0
Last 6 games
15 Aug
2-1
@ Norwich
2-8
08 Aug
4-1
@ Rotherham
2-1
08 Aug
4-1
@ Rotherham United
2-1
02 May
1-2
@ Sheffield Wed
2-5
25 Apr
0-0
vs Ipswich
2-6
21 Apr
3-0
vs Watford
4-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Burnley · Sunday 23 Aug, 11:00 UTC

Win
57%
West Brom
Draw
29%
Loss
14%
Burnley
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How West Brom compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.34
Above average
Goals against
1.06
Tighter than most
Record
4W 2D 1L
7 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 0.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.34
Conceded1.06

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.06 xG per match · -0.22 vs league average of 1.28.

How Bawler has done on West Brom

71%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Result60%3/5
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Tue 25 Aug@ Newcastle United

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 15 Aug@ Norwich City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Aug@ Rotherham United
High confidence: Rotherham United or Draw
Sat 02 May@ Sheffield Wed
High confidence: X2
Sat 18 Apr@ Preston
High confidence: X2
Mon 06 Apr@ Blackburn
High confidence: 1X
Fri 03 Aprvs Wrexham
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Mar@ Bristol City
High confidence: X2

More on West Brom and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly