FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Friday, 14 August 2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–2 Blackburn RoversMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Friday, 14 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Wolverhampton Wanderers at 36%, draw at 33%, Blackburn Rovers at 31%. Against expectation, the match finished 2-2. The model's headline call was Wolverhampton Wanderers to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Wanderers win
36%
Draw
33%
Actual ✓
Rovers win
31%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 78%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 51%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Away Win
Pre-match: 25%
✗ Lost