FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Friday, 14 August 2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–2 Blackburn RoversMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 14 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at 69%. Bawler had Wolverhampton Wanderers at 36%, the draw at 33% and Blackburn Rovers at 31%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
36%
Draw
33%
Result
Blackburn Rovers win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.2
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Landed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 51%
Missed
Outside shot
Blackburn Rovers to win
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.