Bawler / EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs / AEK Athens
Team profile

AEK Athens Prediction

Per-game numbers from 12 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
17.3
a game
10.2 faced
On target
6.4
a game
3.9 faced
Goals
1.9 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 12 matches
Next match
32%
AEK Athens win chance
at Levski Sofia · Tue 18 Aug 19:00

AEK Athens prediction: for AEK Athens's next match — Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens on Tuesday 18 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Levski Sofia are favoured (40%). The model's strongest call is Levski Sofia or Draw.

AEK Athens sit close to the Conference League - Play Offs average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.69 expected goals a game and conceding 1.16. Next up is a trip to Levski Sofia, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

AEK Athens in numbers

12 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 2.1Away 1.6
6.8
Corners · per game
give up 3.6
Home 8.1Away 4.8
17.3
Shots · per game
faced 10.2
Home 20.3Away 13.0
6.4
On target · per game
faced 3.9
Home 7.4Away 5.0
Last 6 games
12 Aug
2-3
vs OFI Crete
5-1
16 Apr
3-1
vs Rayo Vallecano
8-2
09 Apr
0-3
@ Rayo Vallecano
8-1
19 Mar
0-2
vs NK Celje
11-1
19 Mar
0-2
vs Celje
11-1
12 Mar
4-0
@ NK Celje
5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Levski Sofia · Tuesday 18 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
32%
AEK Athens
Draw
28%
Loss
40%
Levski Sofia
High confidence · Levski Sofia or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How AEK Athens compare with the EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs average, per match.

Goals for
1.69
Above average
Goals against
1.16
Tighter than most
Record
1W 0D 2L
3 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 2.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.69
Conceded1.16

The grey line on each bar is the EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs average (1.57 scored, 1.29 conceded).

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INLovro MajerAMfrom Wolfsburg€6m
INKaan KairinenCMfrom Sparta Prague€4m
INOleksandr ZubkovRWfrom Trabzonspor€4m
INChristos AlexiouCBfrom InterLoan
OUTOrbelín PinedaCMto Monterrey€8m
OUTRobert LjubicicRMto LASKLoan
OUTJames PenriceLBto RangersLoan
OUTJens JønssonDMto AGFFree transfer
OUTKonstantinos ChrysopoulosCBto Asteras TripolisUndisclosed
OUTDonaldoni Nguemechieuto Nestos ChrysoupolisFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on AEK Athens and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly