Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Australia prediction: Bawler's model rates Australia at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.23 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Australia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Australia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.23. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.80 goals a game against 1.43 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Australia have been correct 60% of the time.
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How Australia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.