Bawler / World: World Cup / Morocco
Team profile

Morocco Prediction

Per-game numbers from 6 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.0
a game
11.8 faced
On target
4.5
a game
3.3 faced
Goals
1.7 – 1.0
scored – conceded
a game, 6 matches
Corners
5.0
a game
4.8 against

Morocco prediction: Bawler's model rates Morocco at 1.48 expected goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match across 10 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 90% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Morocco fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Morocco sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.48 expected goals a game and conceding 1.30. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.80 a game against 1.48 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 10 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Morocco have been correct 90% of the time.

Morocco in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
Home 4.0Away 1.2
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 9.0Away 3.7
11.0
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
Home 22.0Away 7.3
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.3
Home 11.0Away 2.3
Last 6 games
09 Jul
0-2
@ France
5-5
04 Jul
3-0
@ Canada
1-11
30 Jun
1-1
@ Netherlands
-
24 Jun
4-2
vs Haiti
9-1
19 Jun
1-0
@ Scotland
5-2
13 Jun
1-1
@ Brazil
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Morocco compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.48
Above average
Goals against
1.30
Tighter than most
Record
5W 4D 1L
10 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 0.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.48
Conceded1.30

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.48 xG per match · +0.16 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Morocco fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Morocco

90%
of high-confidence calls correct — 9 of 10, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)83%5/6
Result100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

More on Morocco and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly