Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Oxford Utd
Team profile

Oxford Utd Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.9
a game
14.2 faced
On target
3.4
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Corners
4.0
a game
7.2 against

Oxford Utd prediction: Bawler's model rates Oxford Utd at 1.08 expected goals scored and 1.42 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 4 settled matches. No Oxford Utd fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Oxford Utd sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.08 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 4. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Oxford Utd have been correct 100% of the time.

Oxford Utd in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.1Away 0.9
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 7.2
Home 4.8Away 3.3
11.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.2
Home 14.2Away 9.6
3.4
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 4.2Away 2.5
Last 6 games
15 Aug
2-2
vs MK Dons
8-9
08 Aug
0-2
@ Leyton Orient
2-7
02 May
0-2
@ Millwall
1-14
25 Apr
4-1
vs Sheffield Wed
5-3
21 Apr
0-1
vs Wrexham
9-5
18 Apr
0-1
@ Derby
3-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Oxford Utd compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.08
Below average
Goals against
1.42
Leakier than most
Record
0W 2D 2L
4 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.08
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.08 xG per match · -0.19 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.27.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Oxford Utd fixtures (3/3).

Recent matches (last 4)

More on Oxford Utd and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly