Bawler / EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification / Rijeka
Team profile

Rijeka Prediction

Per-game numbers from 13 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
15.0
a game
10.2 faced
On target
5.5
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
1.1 – 0.6
scored – conceded
a game, 13 matches
Corners
4.6
a game
3.1 against

Rijeka prediction: Bawler's model rates Rijeka at 0.92 expected goals scored and 1.85 conceded per match across 3 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 3 settled matches. No Rijeka fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Rijeka play open, high-scoring football — 0.92 expected goals created per game, but 1.85 conceded, both above the Conference League - Qualification average. They are unbeaten across their last 3 settled matches. Across 3 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Rijeka have been correct 100% of the time.

Rijeka in numbers

13 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 0.6
Home 1.6Away 0.7
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 3.1
Home 6.0Away 3.0
15.0
Shots · per game
faced 10.2
Home 20.0Away 9.2
5.5
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 7.7Away 3.0
Last 6 games
13 Aug
1-1
@ Ilves
3-4
06 Aug
1-0
vs Ilves
9-1
02 Aug
2-1
vs Rudes
7-1
19 Mar
1-1
@ Strasbourg
8-4
12 Mar
1-2
vs Strasbourg
9-3
26 Feb
3-1
vs Omonia Nicosia
1-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Rijeka compare with the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average, per match.

Goals for
0.92
Above average
Goals against
1.85
Leakier than most
Record
1W 2D 0L
3 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 0.7
For / against, per match
Scored0.92
Conceded1.85

The grey line on each bar is the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average (0.07 scored, 0.08 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 0.92 xG per match · +0.84 above the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average of 0.07.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.85 xG per match · +1.77 vs league average of 0.08.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Rijeka fixtures (3/3).

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INYusuf KabadayiLMfrom AugsburgLoan
INIvan CubelicDMfrom Slaven€300k
INIgor VekicGKfrom Vejle BoldklubUndisclosed
INJakov PuljicSTfrom Vukovar 91Free transfer
OUTStjepan RadeljicCBto Dinamo ZagrebFree transfer
OUTMartin ZlomislicGKto Qarabag FK€500k
OUTSimun ButicRWto MuraLoan
OUTDominik ThaqiRWto NK LokomotivaLoan
OUTMerveil NdockytRWto FAR RabatFree transfer
OUTBruno Burculto NK RadomljeFree transfer
OUTMarko Ascicto MuraLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Rijeka and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly