How it finished
FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Rijeka had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Midtjylland's 19 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Rijeka had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Midtjylland's 19 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.
What was the final score in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rijeka 24%, the draw 26% and FC Midtjylland 50%.
What were the stats in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.0, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Yes — both Rijeka and FC Midtjylland scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Midtjylland or draw 76%, it finished FC Midtjylland won (50% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.