Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Verona
Team profile

Verona Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.1
a game
13.5 faced
On target
3.7
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
0.7 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Corners
4.0
a game
5.1 against

Verona prediction: Bawler's model rates Verona at 0.91 expected goals scored and 1.63 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Verona fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Verona are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.63 expected goals a game against a Serie A average of 1.32. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.40 goals a game against 0.91 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Verona have been correct 100% of the time.

Verona in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 0.6Away 0.7
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
Home 4.8Away 3.0
11.1
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
Home 10.9Away 11.3
3.7
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 4.0Away 3.5
Last 6 games
24 May
0-2
vs Roma
6-6
17 May
1-1
@ Inter Milan
2-10
10 May
0-1
vs Como
7-7
03 May
1-1
@ Juventus
1-14
25 Apr
0-0
vs Lecce
2-4
19 Apr
0-1
vs AC Milan
6-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Verona compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
0.91
Below average
Goals against
1.63
Leakier than most
Record
0W 2D 3L
5 settled
Real goals
0.4 – 1.2
For / against, per match
Scored0.91
Conceded1.63

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.24 scored, 1.32 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 0.91 xG per match · -0.33 above the Italy: Serie A average of 1.24.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.63 xG per match · +0.31 vs league average of 1.32.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Verona fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Verona

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Result100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on Verona and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly