> world_cup_2026 · group_a · czech republic
Czech Republic at World Cup 2026
Bawler's full forecast for Czech Republic at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group A alongside Mexico, South Africa, and South Korea. Derived from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin before kickoff.
FIFA Ranking · #33
> path_to_trophy()
Czech Republic's path to the trophy
Probability Czech Republic reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
> group_a()
Group A forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico | #18 | 60.7% | 44.0% | 25.2% | 13.9% | 4.17% |
 South Korea | #23 | 58.4% | 39.6% | 20.1% | 9.95% | 2.16% |
| Czech Republic | #33 | 56.1% | 35.2% | 15.7% | 6.51% | 1.17% |
 South Africa | #58 | 24.9% | 16.0% | 6.03% | 1.91% | 0.17% |
> fixtures()
Czech Republic's World Cup fixtures
Fixtures appear here once the tournament schedule locks in calibration data.
Predictions go live the moment each fixture lands in our calibration data. In the meantime, see today's free picks: bawler.ai/today, or the full tournament forecast at /world-cup-2026/predictions.
> trust = math
Why this forecast is honest
Every morning at 07:30 UK we snapshot the day's predictions and publish a SHA-256 fingerprint of that snapshot to the Bitcoin blockchain via OpenTimestamps. The proof lands publicly before any of that day's matches kick off, and anyone can independently verify, offline, that the numbers above weren't edited after results came in.
See /verify for the proof files, a 30-second verification walkthrough, and an explanation of why no tipster site that edits its history could fake this if they tried.