FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Anderlecht 0–0 Racing GenkMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Racing Genk or draw at 67%. Bawler had Anderlecht at 34%, the draw at 25% and Racing Genk at 41%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Anderlecht win
34%
Draw
25%
Result
Racing Genk win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced 3.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 81% confidence as Anderlecht (1.45 xG) and Genk (1.64 xG) combine for 3.09 expected goals in an evenly matched midtable fixture."