Bawler / BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group / Genk
Team profile

Genk Prediction

Per-game numbers from 55 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
15.8
a game
12.6 faced
On target
5.6
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
1.5 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 55 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
4.3 against

Genk prediction: Bawler's model rates Genk at 1.24 expected goals scored and 1.39 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Genk fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Genk sit close to the Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.24 expected goals a game and conceding 1.39. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.24 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Genk have been correct 80% of the time.

Genk in numbers

55 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.4Away 1.6
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 6.8Away 3.9
15.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.6
Home 18.3Away 13.3
5.6
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 6.0Away 5.2
Last 6 games
15 Aug
3-2
vs Westerlo
8-4
09 Aug
1-2
@ Waregem
-
31 May
1-1
@ Gent
3-3
23 May
2-0
@ Leuven
4-4
19 May
0-0
vs Antwerp
11-3
16 May
0-0
@ Standard Liege
4-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Genk compare with the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group average, per match.

Goals for
1.24
Below average
Goals against
1.39
Leakier than most
Record
2W 1D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
2.0 – 2.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.24
Conceded1.39

The grey line on each bar is the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group average (1.33 scored, 1.32 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Genk fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Genk

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INRafiu DurosinmiSTfrom Pisa€11m
INJeppe ErenbjergAMfrom Zulte Waregem€5m
OUTKonstantinos KaretsasRWto Borussia Dortmund€30m
OUTJusef ErabiSTto Preston North EndLoan
OUTBrent StevensGKto Free agentFree transfer
OUTYira Sorto Amed SportifUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Genk and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly