Argentina vAustria
Over 2.5 Goals sits at 76% probability because Argentina's 1.89 xG and Messi's 22% shot creation dominance overwhelm Austria's 0.99 xG output.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Argentina average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Austria average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Argentina vs Austria — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Argentina and Austria — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Argentina 55% · draw 27% · Austria 17%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.