Bawler / World: World Cup / Argentina
Team profile

Argentina Prediction

Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.6
a game
5.4 faced
On target
5.8
a game
1.6 faced
Goals
2.1 – 0.9
scored – conceded
a game, 8 matches
Corners
4.8
a game
1.8 against

Argentina prediction: Bawler's model rates Argentina at 1.68 expected goals scored and 1.04 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 64% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Argentina fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Argentina are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.68 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.04. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.18 a game against 1.68 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Argentina have been correct 64% of the time.

Argentina in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.1
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
Home 2.4Away 1.7
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 1.8
Home 4.0Away 6.0
14.6
Shots · per game
faced 5.4
Home 15.3Away 13.5
5.8
On target · per game
faced 1.6
Home 6.7Away 4.5
Last 6 games
19 Jul
0-1
@ Spain
-
15 Jul
2-1
@ England
6-1
12 Jul
3-1
vs Switzerland
-
07 Jul
3-2
vs Egypt
6-1
03 Jul
1-1
vs Cape Verde
5-2
28 Jun
3-1
@ Jordan
6-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Argentina compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.68
Above average
Goals against
1.04
Tighter than most
Record
9W 1D 1L
11 settled
Real goals
2.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.68
Conceded1.04

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.68 xG per match · +0.35 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.04 xG per match · -0.34 vs league average of 1.38.

How Bawler has done on Argentina

64%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 11
Goals (Over/Under)56%5/9
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

More on Argentina and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly