Argentina vs Benin prediction — International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 00:00 UK

International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 00:00 UK
Argentina 95Draw 4Benin 1
Our call before kickoff
95%
Argentina to win
Landed
3.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
82%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
19%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
74%

How it finished

Argentina beat Benin 3–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 95% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 3 were scored. Argentina had 19 shots (12 on target) to Benin's 7 (2), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.7.

ArgentinaFull-time statsBenin
65%Possession35%
3.2Expected goals (xG)0.7
19Shots7
12Shots on target2
14Shots inside box5
8Big chances2
8Corners2
2Saves8
11Fouls14
6Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callArgentina to win 95%Argentina won (95% called)
Total goals3.93
Both teams to score19%No
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ArgentinaBenin
3.6
Goals+3.4
0.2
ArgentinaBenin
0.8
Goals+0.7
0.1
ArgentinaBenin
2.8
Goals+2.7
0.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals90%
Both teams to score — no81%
Over 2.5 goals74%

First half — what we expected

Argentina
80%
to score before half-time
Benin
9%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Argentina form (last 6)W W W W W L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+3.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Argentina vs Benin?

Argentina beat Benin 3–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 95% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 3 were scored. Argentina had 19 shots (12 on target) to Benin's 7 (2), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Argentina vs Benin?

Argentina 3–0 Benin, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Argentina 95%, the draw 4% and Benin 1%.

What were the stats in Argentina vs Benin?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–0.7, Shots 19–7, Shots on target 12–2, Shots inside box 14–5, Big chances 8–2, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–8, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Argentina vs Benin?

No. It finished 3–0, so Benin failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 19% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Argentina vs Benin right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Argentina to win 95%, it finished Argentina won (95% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 19%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Benin
All fixtures & results →Argentina form →Benin form →