Atlético Melilla vs Atlético Pinatarense prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 19:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 19:00 UK
Atlético Melilla 47Draw 26Atlético Pinatarense 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Atlético Melilla or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Atlético Pinatarense beat Atlético Melilla 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlético Melilla at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Pinatarense 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAtlético Melilla or draw 72%Atlético Pinatarense won (28% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Atlético MelillaAtlético Pinatarense
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.2
Atlético MelillaAtlético Pinatarense
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Atlético MelillaAtlético Pinatarense
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Atlético Melilla to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Atlético Pinatarense to score71%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Atlético Melilla
52%
to score before half-time
Atlético Pinatarense
42%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlético Melilla vs Atlético Pinatarense?

Atlético Pinatarense beat Atlético Melilla 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlético Melilla at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Pinatarense 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3.

What was the final score in Atlético Melilla vs Atlético Pinatarense?

Atlético Melilla 0–3 Atlético Pinatarense, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Melilla 47%, the draw 26% and Atlético Pinatarense 28%.

Did both teams score in Atlético Melilla vs Atlético Pinatarense?

No. It finished 0–3, so Atlético Melilla failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlético Melilla vs Atlético Pinatarense right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlético Melilla or draw 72%, it finished Atlético Pinatarense won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Atlético Melilla
Before this
26 SeptAAtlético Pinatarense0–8 L
Atlético Pinatarense
Before this
26 SeptHAtlético Melilla8–0 W
All fixtures & results →Atlético Melilla form →Atlético Pinatarense form →