Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 19:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 19:00 UK
Atlético Pinatarense 45Draw 26Atlético Melilla 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Atlético Pinatarense or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 8–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Atlético Pinatarense beat Atlético Melilla 8–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Pinatarense in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 8. Atlético Pinatarense had 19 shots (14 on target) to Atlético Melilla's 5 (1), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

Atlético…Full-time statsAtlético…
55%Possession45%
19Shots5
14Shots on target1
2Corners1
0Fouls0
0Offsides0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAtlético Pinatarense or draw 70%Atlético Pinatarense won (45% called)
Total goals3.08
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Atlético PinatarenseAtlético Melilla
1.6
Goals+0.3
1.3
Atlético PinatarenseAtlético Melilla
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Atlético PinatarenseAtlético Melilla
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Atlético Pinatarense to score81%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Atlético Melilla to score73%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Atlético Pinatarense
52%
to score before half-time
Atlético Melilla
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla?

Atlético Pinatarense beat Atlético Melilla 8–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Pinatarense in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 8. Atlético Pinatarense had 19 shots (14 on target) to Atlético Melilla's 5 (1), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

What was the final score in Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla?

Atlético Pinatarense 8–0 Atlético Melilla, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Pinatarense 45%, the draw 26% and Atlético Melilla 30%.

What were the stats in Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 14–1, Corners 2–1, Fouls 0–0, Offsides 0–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla?

No. It finished 8–0, so Atlético Melilla failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlético Pinatarense vs Atlético Melilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlético Pinatarense or draw 70%, it finished Atlético Pinatarense won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Atlético Pinatarense
Next up
3 OctAAtlético Melilla3–0 W
Atlético Melilla
Next up
3 OctHAtlético Pinatarense0–3 L
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