NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSaturday 08 Aug, 19:00 UTC
AZ Alkmaar v
ADO Den Haag
Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
AZ Alkmaar 55%Draw 28%ADO Den Haag 18%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
76%
How we get there
AZ AlkmaarstepADO Den Haag1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Both teams to score
53%
ADO Den Haag or draw
24%
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
AZ Alkmaar average 6.6 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches).
Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
More predictions for these teams
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: AZ Alkmaar 55% · draw 28% · ADO Den Haag 18%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
⚡ Full-time recap available
AZ Alkmaar 2–0 ADO Den HaagSee how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.