FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Monday, 31 August 2026
Besiktas 6–2 Çorum FKMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 31 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Besiktas to win at 61%. Bawler had Besiktas at 61%, the draw at 22% and Çorum FK at 17%. The match finished 6–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Besiktas win
61%
Result
Draw
22%
Çorum FK win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
6 – 2
Total 8 (+5.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 5.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Besiktas to win
Pre-match: 61%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.