Bawler / Turkey: Süper Lig / Besiktas
Team profile

Besiktas Prediction

Per-game numbers from 37 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
17.4
a game
12.5 faced
On target
6.2
a game
3.9 faced
Goals
1.7 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 37 matches
Next match
32%
Besiktas win chance
at Alanyaspor · Sun 23 Aug 18:30

Besiktas prediction: for Besiktas's next match — Alanyaspor vs Besiktas on Sunday 23 Aug, 18:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Alanyaspor are favoured (37%).

Besiktas sit close to the Süper Lig average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.57 expected goals a game and conceding 1.34. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is a trip to Alanyaspor, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

Besiktas in numbers

37 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.7Away 1.7
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 6.1Away 4.6
17.4
Shots · per game
faced 12.5
Home 18.8Away 15.9
6.2
On target · per game
faced 3.9
Home 6.8Away 5.6
Last 6 games
13 Aug
1-0
vs Hradec Králové
2-4
06 Aug
1-0
@ Hradec Králové
5-8
15 May
2-2
@ Rizespor
3-8
15 May
2-2
@ Caykur Rizespor
3-8
09 May
1-2
vs Trabzonspor
6-3
01 May
2-0
@ Gaziantep
2-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Alanyaspor · Sunday 23 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Win
32%
Besiktas
Draw
31%
Loss
37%
Alanyaspor
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Besiktas compare with the Turkey: Süper Lig average, per match.

Goals for
1.57
Above average
Goals against
1.34
Tighter than most
Record
4W 1D 2L
7 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 0.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.57
Conceded1.34

The grey line on each bar is the Turkey: Süper Lig average (1.34 scored, 1.41 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.57 xG per match · +0.23 above the Turkey: Süper Lig average of 1.34.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Besiktas fixtures (3/4).

How Bawler has done on Besiktas

71%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Result75%3/4
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Thu 13 Augvs FC Hradec Králové
High confidence: Besiktas or Draw
Thu 06 Aug@ FC Hradec Králové
High confidence: FC Hradec Králové or Draw
Fri 15 May@ Caykur Rizespor
High confidence: X2
Sat 09 Mayvs Trabzonspor
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 01 May@ Gaziantep
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Apr@ Fenerbahce
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 19 Marvs Kasimpasa
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INOrkun KökcüAMfrom Benfica€30m
INLeandro TrossardLWfrom Arsenal€20m
INDusan VlahovicSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INKassoum OuattaraLMfrom Monaco€10m
INAlexander NübelGKfrom Bayern München€5m
INSalih ÖzcanDMfrom Borussia DortmundFree transfer
INDogan AlemdarGKfrom BaşakşehirUndisclosed
INIlhan FakiliLWfrom Clermont FootUndisclosed
OUTErnest MuçiAMto Trabzonspor€8.5m
OUTErsin DestanogluGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTGökhan SazdagiRBto Corum FKFree transfer
OUTDevrim SahinLWto Bodrum Belediyesi BodrumsporLoan
OUTEmre BilginGKto EyüpsporUndisclosed
OUTNecip UysalDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTSalih UçanDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTEmrecan TerziLMto Igdir FKFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Besiktas and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly