Canada vMorocco
Over 2.5 Goals lands at 68% because both sides project nearly identical attacking threat at 1.26 and 1.29 xG respectively, with Davies and En-Nesyri primed to deliver in a dead-even contest.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Canada average 15.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Morocco average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Canada vs Morocco — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Canada and Morocco — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Canada 32% · draw 32% · Morocco 36%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.