Betting picks · 18+·PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal·Monday 17 Aug, 19:15 UTC

Casa Pia vs Benfica — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 76.6% · @ 1.30
VALUE
Under 2.5 goals
Model 54.2% · @ 1.84
DARK HORSE
Draw
Model 24.1% · @ 4.15
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + 9 or more corners + Casa Pia or draw
Model 20.3% · @ 4.91x
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly