Benfica beat Casa Pia 7–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 7. Casa Pia had 3 shots (0 on target) to Benfica's 20 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Benfica beat Casa Pia 7–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 7. Casa Pia had 3 shots (0 on target) to Benfica's 20 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 3.0.
Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Casa Pia 27%, the draw 34% and Benfica 39%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–3.0, Shots 3–20, Shots on target 0–8, Shots inside box 2–14, Big chances 1–5, Corners 1–3, Saves 2–0, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–0, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–7, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica or draw 73%, it finished Benfica won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.