CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy prediction — Copa del Rey · Sun 4 Oct · 15:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sun 4 Oct · 15:00 UK
CD San José 46Draw 26Auriense Cented Academy 29
Our call before kickoff
71%
CD San José or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

CD San José beat Auriense Cented Academy 1–0. Bawler's model had CD San José in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. CD San José had 13 shots (5 on target) to Auriense Cented Academy's 5 (1), with 54% of the ball against 46%.

CD San JoséFull-time statsAuriense…
54%Possession46%
13Shots5
5Shots on target1
3Corners3
0Offsides0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCD San José or draw 71%CD San José won (46% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CD San JoséAuriense Cented Academy
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3
CD San JoséAuriense Cented Academy
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
CD San JoséAuriense Cented Academy
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
CD San José to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Auriense Cented Academy to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

CD San José
52%
to score before half-time
Auriense Cented Academy
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy?

CD San José beat Auriense Cented Academy 1–0. Bawler's model had CD San José in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. CD San José had 13 shots (5 on target) to Auriense Cented Academy's 5 (1), with 54% of the ball against 46%.

What was the final score in CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy?

CD San José 1–0 Auriense Cented Academy, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with CD San José 46%, the draw 26% and Auriense Cented Academy 29%.

What were the stats in CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Shots 13–5, Shots on target 5–1, Corners 3–3, Offsides 0–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy?

No. It finished 1–0, so Auriense Cented Academy failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CD San José vs Auriense Cented Academy right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CD San José or draw 71%, it finished CD San José won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Auriense Cented Academy
Before this
27 SeptHCD San José2–0 W
All fixtures & results →CD San José form →Auriense Cented Academy form →