FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Celtic 3–0 AberdeenMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Celtic to win at 76%. Bawler had Celtic at 76%, the draw at 15% and Aberdeen at 8%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Celtic win
76%
Result
Draw
15%
Aberdeen win
8%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 0.8
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Celtic to win
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.