Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Celtic

Team profile

Celtic Prediction

Per-game numbers from 51 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots

15.2

a game

10.9 faced

On target

5.5

a game

3.7 faced

Goals

1.9 – 1.2

scored – conceded

a game, 51 matches

Next match

32%

Celtic win chance

at St Johnstone · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Celtic prediction: for Celtic's next match — St Johnstone vs Celtic on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it St Johnstone are favoured (37%).

Celtic carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.67 expected goals per game against a Premiership average of 1.34. Next up is a trip to St Johnstone, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

Celtic in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.9

Goals · per game

let in 1.2

Home 2.0Away 1.8

6.3

Corners · per game

give up 4.6

Home 7.5Away 5.3

15.2

Shots · per game

faced 10.9

Home 16.9Away 13.5

5.5

On target · per game

faced 3.7

Home 6.2Away 4.7

Last 6 games

15 Aug

4-0

@ Dundee United

4-7

09 Aug

5-1

@ Kilmarnock

7-5

03 Aug

1-0

vs Dundee

9-4

16 May

3-1

vs Hearts

9-6

13 May

3-2

@ Motherwell

3-4

10 May

3-1

vs Rangers

1-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs St Johnstone · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win

32%

Celtic

Draw

31%

Loss

37%

St Johnstone

Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Celtic compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for

1.67

Above average

Goals against

1.19

Tighter than most

Record

2W 0D 1L

3 settled

Real goals

2.3 – 1.3

For / against, per match

Scored1.67

Conceded1.19

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

What the data says

Strong in attack

Averaging 1.67 xG per match · +0.34 above the SCOTLAND: Premiership average of 1.34.

Solid defensively

Conceding 1.19 xG per match · -0.20 vs league average of 1.40.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Celtic fixtures (3/3).

Recent matches (last 3)

Sun 09 Aug@ Kilmarnock

Win 30%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Sun 05 Apr@ Dundee FC

Win 44%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Sun 22 Mar@ Dundee Utd

Win 48%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INKasper Waarts HøghSTfrom Bodø/Glimt€13m

INHaissem HassanRWfrom Real Oviedo€10m

INCamilo DuránSTfrom Qarabag FK€5.5m

INMika BaurDMfrom Paderborn€5.3m

OUTArne EngelsDMto West Ham United€26m

OUTDaizen MaedaSTto Ipswich Town€12m

OUTLuis PalmaLWto Lech Poznań€4m

OUTMaik NawrockiCBto Lens€2.5m

OUTPaulo BernardoCMto Górnik ZabrzeLoan

OUTKelechi IheanachoSTto BursasporFree transfer

OUTStephen WelshCBto Swansea CityFree transfer

OUTOdin Thiago HolmCMto VålerengaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Celtic Prediction

Celtic in numbers

Next match

Attack vs defence

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

More on Celtic and the model